The paper assesses this technology’s potential contribution to global catastrophic risk across four interrelated dimensions: Finally A Fate Worse Than Warming? Stratospheric Aerosol Injection and Global Catastrophic Risk by CSER Research Affiliate Aaron Tang with Luke Kemp assessed the risk from Stratospheric Aerosol Injection, an potential geoengineering technology that has been advocated as a potential risk mitigation strategy for some of climate change’s negative effects. ![]() Climate Endgame: Exploring catastrophic climate change scenarios, brought together a wide coalition of environmental scientists, global systems experts, and existential risk researchers to call on the IPCC to produce a dedicated report into catastrophic climate change and set out a research agenda for what this should include. Re-framing the threat of global warming: an empirical causal loop diagram of climate change, food insecurity and societal collapse, by Catherine Richards and others, identifies an empirical evidence base of climate change, food insecurity and societal collapse in contemporary society and then structure it using a novel-format causal loop diagram. Assessing Climate Change’s Contribution to Global Catastrophic Risk, by SJ Beard and many CSER colleagues, applied a range of tools from Existential Risk Studies to produce a conceptual framework for understanding climate risk, illustrated by the "Global Systems Death Spiral" shown here. The second section, What are the Worst Cases? Build’s on a number of studies that CSER researchers have undertaken into understanding catastrophic climate risk. ![]() The first section, Are We Betting on the Best Case? Largely draws on Betting on the best case: higher end warming is underrepresented in research a study by Luke Kemp and others that compared the probability of different warming rates to their mentions in IPCC reports through text mining. This infographic summarizes some of CSER’s research and advocacy work around the existential and globally catastrophic potential of climate change, as a risk driver, risk multiplier, and risk mitigation opportunity.
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